The Framingham Heart Study
Cardiovascular Disease 30-year risk
(based on Pencina, D'Agostino, Larson, Massaro, Vasan. 'Predicting the 30-Year Risk of Cardiovascular Disease: The Framingham Heart Study', Circulation 2009)
Outcome
"Hard" CVD (coronary death, myocardial infarction, stroke), "general" CVD (coronary death, myocardial infarction, coronary insufficiency, angina, ischemic stroke, hemorrhagic stroke, transient ischemic attack, peripheral artery disease, heart failure)
Duration of follow-up
Maximum of 35 years, 30-year risk prediction
Population of interest
Individuals 20 to 59 years and free of CVD and cancer at baseline examination
Predictors
  • Male Sex
  • Age
  • Systolic Blood Pressure (SBP)
  • Use of Antihypertensive treatment (yes/ no)
  • Smoking
  • Diabetes mellitus
  • Total cholesterol
  • HDL cholesterol
  • BMI replacing lipids in a simpler model
Risk Score Calculator
We acknowledge Mr. Aaron Vaneps and the Mayo Clinic Cardiovascular Health Clinic who provided the interactive risk calculator.
30 Year Risk Factors
Sex: Male     Female
Systolic BP:
Age:
Diabetes:
Smoker:
Treated Hypertension:
Total Cholesterol:
HDL Cholesterol:
BMI:

Lipids-Based Results
Your Risk of Full CVD:
Optimal Risk of Full CVD:
Normal Risk of Full CVD:
Your Risk of Hard CVD:
Optimal Risk of Hard CVD:
Normal Risk of Hard CVD:

BMI-Based Results
Your Risk of Full CVD:
Optimal Risk of Full CVD:
Normal Risk of Full CVD:
Your Risk of Hard CVD:
Optimal Risk of Hard CVD:
Normal Risk of Hard CVD:

Interactive Risk Score Calculators
Downloadable Excel Spreadsheets